Desertification is major issue in arid and semi-arid lands (ASAL) with devastating environmental and socio-economic impacts. Time series analysis was applied on 19 years’ pixel-wise monthly mean Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) data. The aim of this study was to identify a time series model that can be used to predict NDVI at the pixel level in an arid region in Kenya. The Holt-Winters and Seasonal Auto Regressive Integrated Moving Average (SARIMA) models were developed and statistical analysis was carried out using both models on the study area.
Real Time Impact Factor:
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Author Name: Mwana Said Omar(1),Hajime Kawamukai(2)
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Keywords: Arid, Desertification, Kenya, MODIS NDVI, SARIMA, The Holt-Winters model.
ISSN:
EISSN: 2706-6495
EOI/DOI: 10.52132/Ajrsp/en.2231
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